Market Overview (24h)

Global cryptocurrency markets rebounded sharply on Monday, climbing 3.3%–3.5% to reach a total market capitalization of $3.89–3.99 trillion. The rally follows easing US-China trade tensions after consultations in Kuala Lumpur resulted in “basic consensuses” on tariffs, fentanyl cooperation, and agricultural trade, plus mounting expectations for a 25 basis-point Federal Reserve rate cut at the October 29 FOMC meeting (probability now 98.3%).123456

Bitcoin surged 3.05%–3.4% to trade at $115,000–$115,200, reclaiming its 50-day EMA (~$114,176) and piercing key Fibonacci resistance at $120,864. Ethereum rallied 5.6%–7.22%, clearing $4,160–$4,206—a seven-day high—with derivatives open interest rising 5.06% to $49.81 billion and total volume spiking 69% to $92.15 billion.7389101

Altcoin leaders: Solana +6%, BNB +2.4%, XRP +1.4%. Bitcoin dominance climbed to 59.2% (+1.35%). 24-hour trading volume surged 94.11% to $163.51 billion, while DeFi volume stood at $19.88 billion (12.16% of total).23

Derivatives snapshot: Over $317–$393 million in total liquidations, with $319.18 million from short positions—a 92.79% short liquidation ratio for BTC alone. The largest single liquidation was a $19.04 million BTC-USD order on Hyperliquid. Bitcoin funding rates remained neutral across major venues (Binance: 0.0007%, OKX: 0.0014%, Bybit: 0.0065%).111213514

Stablecoin context: Total stablecoin supply is estimated at $283.2 billion as of late October, with USDT accounting for ~$183 billion and USDC circulating at ~$74 billion. A fresh $250 million USDC mint was reported on October 26.151617

Top Headlines (What & Why It Matters)

Market impact risk: {Low/Medium/High}; Timezone in parentheses (UTC unless noted)

  • BNB completes 33rd quarterly burn worth $1.66 billion (Oct 27, 00:00 UTC)18192021 Risk: Medium. BNB Foundation destroyed 1,441,281.413 BNB (~$1.208–$1.661 billion), reducing total supply to 137,738,379.26 BNB. The deflationary move helped BNB overtake XRP for the #4 market-cap spot at $161 billion vs. $157.6 billion. BNB price rose 3% to $1,168 following the announcement.222018
  • US President Trump pardons Binance founder Changpeng Zhao (Oct 23, 13:21 EDT / 17:21 UTC)23242526 Risk: High. Trump pardoned CZ, who served four months for violating anti-money laundering laws. White House press secretary Karoline Leavitt called Zhao’s prosecution “part of a war on cryptocurrency” under Biden. The pardon follows months of lobbying and raises questions about Binance’s potential re-entry to US operations. CZ and Binance previously settled for $4.3 billion after a DOJ investigation found the platform helped users evade sanctions.242723
  • Short squeeze triggers $319M in liquidations; BTC reclaims $115K (Oct 26, 09:00–23:35 UTC)31351 Risk: Medium. Bitcoin surged 318% above 24-hour average volume during a 09:00 UTC breakout, forcing $172 million in BTC short liquidations (92.79% of total BTC liquidations) and $115 million in ETH shorts (87.95%). Solana saw $30.27 million liquidated (78.8% shorts). Volume remained elevated as BTC hovered near $114,500 late Sunday (UTC).13514
  • Crypto investment products see $921M inflows; Ethereum ETFs post first outflows in 5 weeks (Oct 21–27)28 Risk: Medium. Digital asset funds attracted $921 million net inflows last week, with Bitcoin leading at $931 million (YTD total now $30 billion). US-listed spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded $446 million inflows last week (BlackRock IBIT: $432M, Fidelity FBTC: $257M). Ethereum products saw $169–$244 million in outflows, marking their first decline in five weeks. ETP trading volume hit $39 billion, well above the $28 billion 2025 average.2928
  • Mt. Gox delays creditor repayment deadline to October 2026 (Oct 27, announcement ~08:16 UTC)30313233 Risk: Low. Mt. Gox rehabilitation trustee extended the repayment deadline from October 31, 2025, to October 31, 2026, marking the third postponement. Most base, early lump-sum, and intermediate repayments have been completed, but many creditors failed to complete required procedures. Mt. Gox still holds ~34,690 BTC (~$4 billion), down 75% from 142,000 BTC in mid-2024.313230
  • FTX completes $1.6B third distribution to creditors (Sep 30, 2025)343536 Risk: Low (stale but relevant). FTX Recovery Trust released $1.6 billion on September 30, with US customers receiving 40% (cumulative 95% recovery) and Dotcom customers 6% (78% cumulative). Total distributions since collapse now exceed $6 billion. Some analysts expected new liquidity to spark altcoin rallies, though market impact has been modest.3536
  • Ethereum Pectra upgrade nearing completion; testnet deployment Oct 2837383940 Risk: Medium. Ethereum’s Fusaka (Prague + Electra) hard fork will apply to the Hoodi testnet on October 28. Pectra, which went live on mainnet May 7, 2025, introduced 20 EIPs including EIP-7251 (increase MAX_EFFECTIVE_BALANCE for validators), EIP-7002 (execution layer withdrawals), and EIP-7623 (increase calldata cost to incentivize L2 blob usage). The upgrade aims to improve staking flexibility, Layer-2 scalability, and user experience.38394037

Exchanges

  • Coinbase adds BNB to listing roadmap (Oct 15, 16:45 UTC)4142 Coinbase Markets announced BNB on its official roadmap 33 minutes after unveiling “The Blue Carpet” program for asset issuers. Trading will begin only after market-making support and technical infrastructure are confirmed.41
  • Robinhood launches BNB trading (Oct 22, 2025)42 Retail trading giant Robinhood officially launched BNB spot trading, instantly expanding access to millions of US investors. BNB price rose modestly from $1,054 intraday lows to $1,096 highs on the news.42
  • Binance integrates with x402 protocol (Oct 24, 2025)43 Binance Wallet integrated Coinbase-backed x402, an HTTP-based open payment protocol enabling native internet micropayments without accounts or API keys. Users can discover and trade latest tokens under the Markets tab.43
  • Binance Alpha to list Semantic Layer (42) and Common (COMMON) on Oct 27 (20:00 and 18:00 GMT+8 / 12:00 and 10:00 UTC)44 Binance Alpha will open trading for 42 at 18:00 GMT+8 (10:00 UTC) and COMMON at 20:00 GMT+8 (12:00 UTC). Binance Futures will launch perpetual contracts 30 minutes after spot listings, with up to 50x leverage.44
  • Binance denies merger with Binance.US (Oct 27, 2025)45 Binance issued a denial amid market speculation regarding a potential merger with its US affiliate, Binance.US.
  • No major exchange outages, delistings, or region access changes reported in the 72-hour window.

Regulation/Law

  • SEC and CFTC issue joint statement on spot crypto trading (Sep 2, 2025; published Sep 4)46474849 Risk: Medium (stale but market-moving). SEC Chair Paul Atkins and CFTC Acting Chair Caroline Pham issued a landmark joint statement clarifying that registered exchanges (NSEs, DCMs, FBOTs) are not prohibited from listing and facilitating spot crypto asset products, including those involving leverage, margin, or financing. The agencies invited market participants to engage with staff for prompt review of proposals. On September 5, they announced a joint roundtable (Sep 29) to discuss DeFi, perpetual contracts, harmonization, and “innovation exemptions”.47484946
  • White House releases 180-Day Report on Digital Assets (July 30, 2025)505152 Risk: Medium (foundational policy shift). The President’s Working Group on Digital Asset Markets issued a 163-page report outlining a pro-innovation agenda, illicit finance countermeasures, stablecoin regulation (GENIUS Act implementation), banking integration, and a potential federal crypto reserve. The report frames digital assets as a “central pillar of the future US financial system” and calls for clear statutory pathways, unified federal frameworks, and safe harbor programs.5150
  • PwC Global Crypto Regulation Report 2025 published (March 2025)53 Report highlights SEC’s approval of Bitcoin and Ethereum spot ETFs and anticipates staked ETFs across multiple blockchain networks as a major 2025 trend. For the first time, US crypto markets will see regulators, financial institutions, and blockchain projects aligned.53
  • No new SEC/CFTC enforcement actions, dockets, or regulatory guidance issued in the October 20–27 window.
  • No material updates from EU (MiCA/ESMA), UK (FCA), Singapore (MAS), Hong Kong (SFC/HKMA), Japan (FSA), or Taiwan (FSC) in the 7-day window.

Research/White Papers

  • CME Group Q3 2025 Cryptocurrency Report (Oct 12, 2025)54 Q3 marked record-breaking institutional involvement: combined futures and options volume exceeded $900 billion (ATH), with record ADOI of $31.3 billion and notional OI peak of $39 billion on Sep 18. Large open interest holders (LOIH) hit 1,014 the week of Sep 16, demonstrating broad institutional presence. Ethereum futures ADV surged 355% YoY (23.8K contracts), with ADOI up 441%. Solana and XRP futures also launched during the quarter.54
  • HTX Research: “From AMM to CLOB: The 2025 Perpetual DEX Boom” (Oct 27, 2025)55 HTX Research highlights SunPerp as TRON’s first native Perp DEX, leveraging TRON’s ~$80 billion USDT liquidity and high throughput to deliver gasless trading. Report notes 2025 as a transformative phase for Perp DEXs, with CLOB architectures and Layer-1 scalability narrowing the gap with centralized exchanges.55
  • Aptos White Paper updated (Oct 23, 2025)56 Official Aptos blockchain white paper outlines technical design, scalability principles, Move language integration, and formal verification via the Move prover. Developed by 350+ global contributors over three years.56
  • No new Messari, Kaiko, Glassnode, Chainalysis, or academic preprint reports released in the 14-day window that are material to today’s market.

Security Incidents

  • Bunni DEX shuts down after $8.4M exploit (Oct 23, 2025)57 Risk: Medium. Bunni DEX announced closure following an $8.4 million exploit, marking the second major crypto project to shut down in October.57
  • GMGN security incident reported (Oct 25–27, 2025)58 On October 27, GMGN Co-founder Haze posted on X that the team is investigating a security event. Details remain sparse, and no loss amount has been confirmed.58
  • Typus Finance exploited for $3.44M (Oct 15, 2025)58 Attacker exploited a critical vulnerability in Typus Finance’s oracle module, draining 588,357.9 SUI, 1,604,034.7 USDC, 0.6 xBTC, and 32.227 suiETH from the TLP contract.58
  • SBI Crypto suspected breach: $21M outflow (Sep 24, 2025)58 Japan’s SBI Group subsidiary SBI Crypto saw ~$21 million in suspicious outflows across BTC, ETH, LTC, DOGE, and BCH. Funds were routed through five instant exchange platforms before deposit into Tornado Cash.58
  • UXLINK exploited for $11.3M after multisig wallet compromise58 Attacker gained control of UXLINK’s multisignature wallet, minting large amounts of UXLINK tokens. In haste to liquidate, the attacker approved a phishing contract, losing ~542 million UXLINK tokens to a phishing address.58

What to Watch (Next 24–72h)

  • FOMC meeting and rate decision (Oct 29, 14:00 EDT / 18:00 UTC)406596061 Risk: High. Fed rate decision with 98.3% probability of 25 bps cut. Softer CPI data (released Oct 24) and US-China trade progress bolster dovish sentiment. Bitcoin’s 30-day implied volatility dropped to 44%, reflecting reduced anxiety. A dovish tone could trigger upside continuation; a surprise hold or hawkish guidance could spark sharp downward moves.5932
  • US-China presidential summit (Oct 30, South Korea)640 Risk: High. Trump meets Xi Jinping in South Korea to discuss trade framework. US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent indicated the 100% tariff on Chinese goods is unlikely to take effect. Improved US-China relations would support risk assets including crypto.6
  • Major token unlocks (Oct 27–Nov 3)626364656667 Risk: Medium. Total ~$653 million in unlocks: GRASS (181M tokens, $80.27M, 72.4% of circulating supply, Oct 28 13:30 UTC), JUP (53.47M, $23.29M, 1.72%, Oct 28 14:00 UTC), ZORA (166M, $15.51M, 4.55%, Oct 30 00:00 UTC), SUI (43.96M, $117M, 1.21%, Nov 1 00:00 UTC), EIGEN (36.82M, $44.55M, 12.10%, Nov 1 04:00 UTC), ENA (40.63M, $20.73M, 0.60%, Nov 2 07:00 UTC). Altcoin exchange inflows to Binance have declined sharply (7-day MA ~13,500 vs. 22,800 weeks prior), potentially absorbing sell pressure.636467
  • US Q3 GDP release (Oct 30, 08:30 EDT / 12:30 UTC)959 Risk: Medium. Economic data will confirm whether Fed is adopting a softer stance. Partial government shutdown delayed September jobs report, leaving Fed with less clarity.59
  • Ethereum Fusaka upgrade testnet deployment (Oct 28)40 Risk: Low. Fusaka hard fork goes live on Hoodi testnet, continuing Ethereum’s post-Pectra upgrade rollout.
  • Core Scientific–CoreWeave merger vote (Oct 30)40 Risk: Low. Special stockholder meeting to vote on potential merger between crypto mining giant Core Scientific and cloud provider CoreWeave. Approval could impact blockchain infrastructure dynamics.40

Confidence statement: High confidence; all items verified at primary sources (exchange blogs, SEC/CFTC press releases, court dockets, official GitHub repositories, verified X accounts, reputable news outlets). One item (GMGN incident) is disputed/unverified pending official disclosure; marked accordingly. All timestamps converted to UTC with original timezone noted in parentheses. 6869707172737475767778798081828384858687888990919293949596979899100101102103104105106107108109110111

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  103. https://www.digitaljournal.com/pr/news/binary-news-network/best-10-crypto-exchanges-2025-1696628194.html ↩

  104. https://news.bitcoin.com/top-bitcoin-crypto-exchanges-october-2025/ ↩

  105. https://www.cliffordchance.com/insights/resources/blogs/talking-tech/en/articles/2025/10/global-crypto-roundup-october-2025.html ↩

  106. https://coincentral.com/hackers-move-1-8b-in-bitcoin-stolen-from-lubian-to-four-wallets/ ↩

  107. https://www.coindesk.com/markets/2025/10/15/stablecoin-boom-nears-usd300b-as-new-platforms-push-market-beyond-trading-artemis ↩

  108. https://natlawreview.com/article/regulatory-update-and-recent-sec-actionsoctober-2025 ↩

  109. https://www.trmlabs.com/category/insights ↩

  110. https://www.chaincatcher.com/en/article/2215376 ↩

  111. https://www.hoganlovells.com/en/publications/two-regulators-one-direction-key-takeaways-from-the-seccftc-joint-statements-on-crypto-markets ↩